Allworx 6x Issues on Bandwidth.com

I have been meaning to put up a full review of our Allworx 6x Phone system and 9212 phones but seem to lack the time consistently. It has some very good features and some powerful negatives but I will get into that in a review later.

For the moment, I want to point out a few issues.
1. This unit will not longer update it’s firmware when we request it (this feature stopped working with firmware version 6.9.3.3 in June, 2008). Previously we just clicked a button and it downloaded from a remote FTP and upgraded the firmware. I suspect this is a bug but it is a problem for us as the new firmware versions have fixes and new features.
2. When calling one of our remote phones (an allworx 9212 phone at a remote site), the voice on the allworx 6x side periodically does not receive sound from the remote side. We just have to keep trying to call that remote employee until it works (usually works on the 2nd try). We have opened all ports and even tried the boxes at the heads of the networks to no avail.
3. This is by far the most important and problematic issue. Apparently Allworx has set the ptime value on call sessions using the G711 codec to 20. Bandwidth.com has several carriers who keep defaulting back to a max ptime of 10. This causes a jackhammer and static sound as the codec fails while the carrier keeps trying and failing again due to a max ptime error. When this happens, bandwidth.com is flooded with Allworx issues and ONLY Allworx customers are affected out of their large number of customers. Simply put, this issue is specific to Allworx and is a MAJOR problem as we run into this jackhammer max ptime error every few months. Lots of Allworx customers and Bandwidth.com have supposedly contacted Allworx to ask them to alter this ptime variable to a value of 10 or less with no change. I hope that posting here will help and I will also contact Allworx and try to get our firmware updated (perhaps this has changed since June, 2008).

Windows XP Network Speed Improvements

(10 steps to make your Windows Computer Faster)

We have a network speed performance problem at our company. All of our computers are fast and modern and high specification engineering stations. We have a gigabit network with high quality equipment and a powerhouse of a Server. We rarely see high cpu utilization but our network latency is poor on our local network and abysmal over our VPN employees (using Netgear FVX538 routers). The funniest part of this whole situation is that this problem is specific to windows machines only. Our linux machines are speedy from point to point across our tcp/ip Windows network whereas our Windows machines are extremely slow and latent.

Here are some solutions we are trying so far based on tweaks from other sites like speedguide.net or tweakxp.com

1. Turn off indexing service.
Turning this service off to increase overall performance:
Open My Computer -> right-click on a Drive icon -> Select Properties -> Remove the checkmark from “Allow Indexing Service to index this disk for fast file searching” -> Click Apply. Make sure to select “Apply changes to :, subfolders and files.” before clicking OK in the new window.
2. Turn off transition effects for options when right-clicking a file.
Turn off the transition effects for menus and ToolTips. To do this, follow these steps:

1. Click Start, and then click Control Panel.
2. In Control Panel, double-click Display, and then click the Appearance tab.
3. On the Appearance tab, click Effects.
4. In the Effects dialog box, click to clear the Use the following transition effect for menus and tooltips check box, and then click OK two times.
Reference: http://support.microsoft.com/default.aspx?scid=kb;en-us;819101
3. Disable Network Task Scheduler / Lan Browsing Speedup
This tweak disables searching networked computers for scheduled tasks. It reduces the long wait when opening network folders. To apply this tweak, find the following key:

HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINESOFTWAREMicrosoftWindowsCurrentVersionExplorerRemoteComputerNameSpace
and delete this key:
{D6277990-4C6A-11CF-8D87-00AA0060F5BF}

Note: You might want to export the key before deleting, then to revert the changes, simply merge your exported reg file. Removing the second sub-key in HKLM…..NameSpace that looks like: {2227A280-3AEA-1069-A2DE-08002B30309D} disables checking for network printers.
4. Increase Request Buffer Size / reduce network delay
In higher latency Network environments, delays may be encountered with the default request buffer size (4356 decimal). The range of this parameter is 1024 – 65535 bytes. Testing has shown that, in most standard Ethernet environments, 16384 (decimal) is a better choice, if memory is available. This tweak only applies to LANs, and helps with slow browsing of large directories.

To change this setting, edit:

HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINESystemCurrentControlSetServicesLanmanServerParameters and Add Value name SizReqBuf as a type REG_DWORD, increase its (decimal) value to 16384 or even higher and restart the computer for changes to take effect.
Reference: http://support.microsoft.com/default.aspx?scid=kb;en-us;Q320829
5. Increase Network Redirector Buffers / better network performance
If you increase the number of network redirector buffers it may considerably increase your network throughput. Each extra execution thread that you configure will take 1K of additional nonpaged pool memory, but only if your applications actually use them.

To configure additional buffers and threads, edit: HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINESystemCurrentControlSetServicesLanmanWorkstationParameters Modify or Add Value of type REG_DWORD for:

MaxCmds=dword:00000064 – range is 0 – 255 and the default value is 15. Set to a higher number, try 64 (Hexadecimal) for starters.
MaxThreads=dword:00000064 – set to the same value (Hexadecimal) as MaxCmds.

MaxCollectionCount in the same key is a DWORD buffer for character-mode named pipes writes. You might want to increase it from te default 16 as well, its’ range is 0 – 65535.
6. Disable “Automatically search for network folders and printers”
Speed up Windows Explorer and network browsing by stopping automatic shares in “My Network Places”

By default, Windows 2k/XP/2k3 tries to read icon information from shortcuts in the “My Network Places” folder, accessing remote files on the network, and causing a very slow system response. Every time you open a file in a remote shared folder, or a file via a UNC name, Windows will automatically add another shortcut to “My Netowork Places”, making the problem worse with time. To resolve this:

Go to My Computer -> Tools -> View -> Unclick “Automatically search for network folders and printers”.
7. Improve NTFS Performance
You can improve NTFS performance by stopping it from generating timestamps every time directories are accessed, and if you’re feeling a bit more adventurous, by preventing NTFS from generating MS-DOS compatible filenames for all files with long filenames. Here are the two registry keys that you can modify:

HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINESystemCurrentControlSetControlFileSystem
“NtfsDisableLastAccessUpdate”=dword:00000001
“NtfsDisable8dot3NameCreation”=dword:00000001

Note: Applying the second line above (disabling truncated filename creation) might cause problems with some 16-bit applications. To resolve this, simply set the number back to “0”. This change is questionable, we are testing this only on select machines!!

8. Disable unnecessary Services

Services are programs that start with Windows and continuously run in the background, helping the OS with different functionality. Not all services that load by default are needed, you can disable some to free some resources and speed up your system in general. You should go through the list and read the descriptions to decide which services you need depending on what you use your computer for… You can always turn the service back on if and when you find need for it. Here is the procedure to turn off a service:

1. Navigate to: Start -> Programs -> Administrative Tools -> Services.
Alternatively, you can do START -> Run -> and type services.msc

2. Left-click on a service and read its’ description carefully. Turning off services disables some particular functionality of the OS, so make sure you want to turn the particular service off.

3. To disable, Right-click -> Properties -> Change the “Startup Type” to “Manual” and Stop the service. Next time you reboot that particular service won’t start.

Some Sample Services that can safely be turned off in most Home PCs unless you have a specific need:
Error Reporting Service
Help and Support
Indexing Service
Messenger (pop-up spam vulnerability)
NetMeeting Remote Desktop Sharing
Performance Logs and Alerts
Remote Registry (remote access to your registry)
Routing and Remote Access (enables dial-in routing to your computer)
Secondary Logon
Task Scheduler
9. Establish a Global Temp Folder / For 1 user computers
Storing everything in A users individual application data is unecessary and makes cleaning up temporary data more difficult. It can also lead to user profile bloating and performance loss. To change this to a global temporary file, make sure you have a temp folder in your windows directory. Then right-click my computer -> select advanced tab -> click environment variables and click edit for the TEMP variable, then enter %SystemRoot%Temp . Click ok and do the same for the TMP variable.
10. Establish a Fixed Pagefile size
right-click my computer -> select advanced tab -> click settings in the performance area -> select advanced tab -> click the change button. If you have more than one hard drive, select your non-boot drive. Select the custom size button and type in a number for initial size that is roughly 2x your ram value on a lower spec machine (2gb-) and 1x your ram value on a higher spec machine (4gb+). Reboot and defragment your paging drive.
Good References for these changes:
http://www.speedguide.net/read_articles.php?id=1404
http://www.speedguide.net/read_articles.php?id=1607

chrome.exe – Application Error – Related to use of Symantec Endpoint Protection

I use the Google Chrome browser for a few important reasons. The first is that you can create an application shortcut so that now I have psuedo-application with a nice image for my gmail which is great. The second is that Google Chrome has it’s own task manager and each window is also in the windows task manager. This approach is simply smarter and allows greater flexibility when there is a problem. The third reason is that it gives me a second browser. So if my firefox session has too many windows and I don’t want to restore a ton of windows on a reboot, I can open my secondary browser.

When Chrome first came out I ran into the following error:

chrome.exe - Application Error

The application failed to initialize properly (0xc0000005). Click on OK to terminate the application.

chrome-application-error

The Chrome would load with the follow text:

Aw, Snap!

Something went wrong while displaying this webpage. To continue, press Reload or go to another page.

chrome-aww-snap-image

I narrowed this down to my use of Symantec Endpoint Protection 11.0. I won’t bother with the specifics but the solution is to change every Google Chrome shortcut from this link:

"C:Documents and SettingsJames BallengerLocal SettingsApplication DataGoogleChromeApplicationchrome.exe"

To this link:
"C:Documents and SettingsJames BallengerLocal SettingsApplication DataGoogleChromeApplicationchrome.exe" --no-sandbox

No disk detected with Samsung DVD Writer, model SH-203B and Gigabyte GA-P35 motherboard and ICH9 or ICH9R chipset

Ok, another day another silly problem that took some time to solve. I went to write a CD with one of my workstations and couldn’t. Nero kept telling me there was no disc present and I couldn’t get any software to write to the CDR. I could read from the CD without a problem. After searching for a solution, I did the following:

1) Upgraded my firmware on my SH-203B from SB03 to SB04 using the following tools:
http://www.samsungodd.com/eng/Firmware/FWvercheck/FWvercheck.asp
http://www.samsungodd.com/eng/Firmware/FWDownload/FWDownload.asp
This did not resolve the problem.
2) Looked into my bios to determine if my CD writer was running in IDE legacy mode or not. It was not. My primary Hard Drive was on SATA port 0 with AHCI off and Native mode on. My Samsung SH-203B was on SATA Port 1. I discovered that the Native mode was listed for SATA port 0-1 in the bios and realized that the Samsung drive had been forced into Native mode. I moved the Samsung drive to SATA port 4 rebooted the machine and everything was solved.

So, make sure your CD / DVD writer is on an SATA port that supports legacy IDE mode if you run into the above problem and this seems to resolve the issue. I presume it would have worked with firmware SB03 but felt I should mention the above step just in case.

How to install Windows XP on a Gateway GT5628 with Windows Vista

I bought a Gateway GT5628 from buy.com when they were on sale for $599.99 with some additional coupons and free shipping. The first thing I wanted to do was to remove Vista and install Windows XP Home Edition but I ran into a problem during the installation. The first problem was that the PC hit the blue screen of death during the first running of Windows XP after the files were copied over and the second problem was that I couldn’t get the mass storage drivers on because the motherboard had no provision for a floppy drive. The end solution is to use the Driver Packs Base software, a few tricks and Nero to burn a bootable ISO that is a “SplitStream” Windows installation disk with all the drivers already on it. Here are the basic steps:

1) Buy Windows XP and download isobuster, then copy the entire CD and boot image from your Windows XP CD directly to the hard drive according to the instructions here:
http://www.theeldergeek.com/slipstreamed_xpsp2_cd.htm
2) Install the DriverPacks BASE software and then download the CPU, Chipset and MassStorage driver packs. Put the files directly in the DriverPacks installation directly, like this example: c:Program FilesDPs_BASE_7052DriverPacksput the driverpack files here.
3) Walk through the DriverPacks BASE software, select the correct driver packs and create the output.
4) Burn the CD using the instructions here: http://www.theeldergeek.com/slipstreamed_xpsp2_cd_nero.htm
5) Install Windows XP
6) Use the sound driver here: http://downloadmirror.intel.com/8658/eng/5.10.5258_MSXP_W_STACGUI_HDFP.exe
7) Use most of the drivers from Intel because Gateway only released Vista drivers for this board: Intel XP Drivers
8) Get the Nvidia Driver from Nvidia

Your done with a complete XP installation and now have a splitstreamed disk you can use in the future. This took me a while to assemble and was frustrating. I tried a few things before reaching this solution and had the DP0304 bios as covered in another post.

This procedure should also work to put XP on other gateway hardware and may include:

Gateway GM5478 Desktop Computer [Part #1009570]
Gateway GM5485E Desktop Computer [Part #1009586]
Gateway GM5485H Desktop Computer [Part #1009597]
Gateway GT5214j Desktop Computer [Part #1014668R]
Gateway GT5216j Desktop Computer [Part #1014670R]
Gateway GT5218j Desktop Computer [Part #1014676R]
Gateway GT5628 Desktop Computer [Part #1014737R]
Gateway GM5632E Desktop Computer [Part #1014739R]
Gateway GT5636E Desktop Computer [Part #1014825R]
Gateway GM5638E Desktop Computer [Part #1014837R]
Gateway GT4220m Desktop Computer [Part #1014857R]
Gateway GM5643E Desktop Computer [Part #1014859R]
Gateway GT4222m Desktop Computer [Part #1014867R]
Gateway GT5226j Desktop Computer [Part #1014950R]
Gateway GT5228j Desktop Computer [Part #1014951R]
Gateway GT5092b Desktop Computer [Part #1014956R]
Gateway GT4224m Desktop Computer [Part #1015181R]
Gateway GT5236j Desktop Computer [Part #1015197R]
Gateway GT5240j Desktop Computer [Part #1015202R]
Gateway FX7024 Desktop Computer [Part #1015229R]

Here are some nice references in my search:
http://www.msfn.org/board/Big-Trouble-Installing-Sound-Drivers-t114654.html&pid=749757#entry749757
http://forum.driverpacks.net/viewtopic.php?id=1647
http://support.gateway.com/support/drivers/getFile.asp?id=21764&dscr=Intel%20(Schroeder%20Town)%20G33%20Motherboard%20BIOS%20Update&uid=192178515
http://www.buy.com/retail/product.asp?sku=207544960&loc=101
http://www.isobuster.com/

How to flash update the bios on a Gateway GT5628 with a CD (instead of a Windows based Tool)

I purchased a Gateway GT5628 when it was on sale at Buy.com for $599.99 with some coupons and free shipping so it looked like a great machine. My biggest problem was Vista, we have too much incompatible software and Vista is simply too latent when moving quickly from task to task which is what I do often. My first step was to remove Vista and try to install XP.

I immediately ran into a brick wall as the XP install would blue screen as soon as it went to start Windows for the first time. One thing I wanted to try was to upgrade the known buggy bios on the motherboard. DPP3510J.15A.0261.2007 was the firmware on it and the gateway bios revision site only had bios update tools that run through Windows for this Intel (Schroeder Town) G33 Motherboard BIOS Update: http://support.gateway.com/support/drivers/search.asp?st=pn&param=1014737R .

I wanted to do this without Windows so I found the intel bios update tool for the same board: Intel ISO / CD Based bios update tool . Intel has a really nice bootable iso that you can simply use. So I stripped the newer bios from the gateway exe file using 7zip, put it in the intel iso using poweriso and updated the autoexec.bat file to match. The result is a nice iso that updates the gateway board to the newest firmware without windows.

After the revision your bios should be DPP3510J.15A.0304 . I know some people say that you can use the Intel update directly if you find xxx bios and whatnot but I just wanted to update the bios reliably, quickly and without windows.

Download the iso by clicking here DP0304P.iso

This firmware update should also work for the following Gateway hardware:

Gateway GM5478 Desktop Computer [Part #1009570]
Gateway GM5485E Desktop Computer [Part #1009586]
Gateway GM5485H Desktop Computer [Part #1009597]
Gateway GT5214j Desktop Computer [Part #1014668R]
Gateway GT5216j Desktop Computer [Part #1014670R]
Gateway GT5218j Desktop Computer [Part #1014676R]
Gateway GT5628 Desktop Computer [Part #1014737R]
Gateway GM5632E Desktop Computer [Part #1014739R]
Gateway GT5636E Desktop Computer [Part #1014825R]
Gateway GM5638E Desktop Computer [Part #1014837R]
Gateway GT4220m Desktop Computer [Part #1014857R]
Gateway GM5643E Desktop Computer [Part #1014859R]
Gateway GT4222m Desktop Computer [Part #1014867R]
Gateway GT5226j Desktop Computer [Part #1014950R]
Gateway GT5228j Desktop Computer [Part #1014951R]
Gateway GT5092b Desktop Computer [Part #1014956R]
Gateway GT4224m Desktop Computer [Part #1015181R]
Gateway GT5236j Desktop Computer [Part #1015197R]
Gateway GT5240j Desktop Computer [Part #1015202R]
Gateway FX7024 Desktop Computer [Part #1015229R]
[Part #1015336R]
[Part #1015350R]
[Part #1015351R]
[Part #1015427R]
Intel (Schroeder Town) G33 Motherboard [Part #4006194R]
Intel (Schroeder Town) G33 Motherboard [Part #4006269R]

Microsoft .NET Framework 2.0 Service Pack 1 (KB110806) failed – fix

It has been a while since I posted. Trying to dump my views here will just take too long to research and articulate so I’m just going to post about things that are fixes for bugs I run into and reference information that will help me out down the line if I need to come back to it. Perhaps it will help some others out too.

Ok, so MS downloaded Service Pack 1 for my Windows XP install automatically and I decided to let it install. It failed and subsequently prevented me from opening Quickbooks Enterprise. I searched around for a while about a Quickbooks problem, thinking it was something related to Quickbooks not starting or failing to start as it would just get to the loading screen, scroll some dots across the screen and fail with no diagnostic information reported. I realized that it was probably the failed .net 2.0 install as Quickbooks does use and require this.

After searching for a while I found this:
http://forums.microsoft.com/MSDN/ShowPost.aspx?PostID=2820568&SiteID=1 . I used the advice posted by Tammysisland and downloaded the very nice dotnet cleanup tool here: http://astebner.sts.winisp.net/Tools/dotnetfx_cleanup_tool.zip . Once I ran the tool I followed his instructions though I did not bother with .net 3.0 and I probably didn’t need to bother with .net 1.1. It is worth noting that I did have to install .net 1.0, install the 1.0 patch, reboot, install 1.1 patch, reboot, install 2.0, install 2.0 patch and I was good. I did delete the temp files after each operation. I suspect this affects a lot of intuit products like turbotax, quicken, quickbooks, etc.

Well I got the same error with my TURBO TAX and installing Microsoft .Net Framework 3.5 from the microsoft site would not work. SO HERE IS A LITTLE PATCH “SEE LINK BELOW” THAT WILL CLEAN UP YOUR .NET FRAMEWORK FOR YOU then it will work.

I too have Windows XP SP2, FULLY LOADED UP TO .NET 3.0 the error codes for SP1 were throwing me off.

I first got error code KB929300 AND KB110806, then couldn’t get those to work at all, tried to ignore them for awhile. Then, when I tried to install my Turbotax software it would not install!! Found in other blogs that .NET framework 3.5. install might fix the issue. AND YES I could not get 3.5 to install either, I got error code .Net 2.0a. So finally got this cleanup tool!!! Evidently somehow the .NET FRAMEWORK either got corrupted or?? well who knows. Anyway, here it is, you need the link below to fix it. Plus read all my notes on housekeeping to get this to work and solve your pesky problems too! It worked for me and now I am HAPPY!!!

http://astebner.sts.winisp.net/Tools/dotnetfx_cleanup_tool.zip

1) Clean off delete all temp files off your machine, with ccleaner.com or other, or just go to Local Settings, Temp (have to unhide these files to see them). VITAL!!!

2) Close all internet windows open, VITAL!!!

3) Close HP photo digital imaging monitor in task tray, if you have a high end HP printer installed like I do, HP C7180, I found it interfered w/ installations.

4) Run Zip file link above

5) Immediately close Microsoft.com update internet window where you got zip file, or it won’t work!!!

6) direct it to fix all versions of .NET, may need to restart computer

7) repeat steps 1-3

8) Open Windows update check for updates, custom install should have 3-4 packages to update

9) Update only one at a time, start with .NET FRAMEWORK version 1.1 Service Pack 1

10) restart computer, repeat steps 1-3

11) Open windows update check for updates, custom, may have KB928366 OR KB110806, ONLY run one update at a time.

12) restart computer, repeat steps 1-3

13) open windows update, check for updates, custom install should have KB829019 .NET 2.0:X86 run install

14) restart computer, repeat steps 1-3

15) open windows update custom install, KB928416 .NET 3.0:x86 should be last one.

16) restart computer

17) May get a few anomoly error messages documentviewer.msi missing or can’t find photogallery, will have to resolve these later, end messages running with “WINDOWS TASK MANAGER” to move on.

Anyway this fixed it for me, plus it fixed the original errors I kept getting from not being able to update and install KB929300 AND KB110806 Microsoft updates which were pesky SP1 updates that were to say the least annoying!!!

How bad is this housing bubble, when will it stabilize and how will the economy react?

At this point it is certainly safe to say that there has been a housing bubble in the US and that it is now bursting. I started looking at homes in 2003 and determined that the prices were simply too high with respect to incomes and that at some point it had to come down. I did not, in my wildest dreams, forsee the craze that followed. People were putting 0 down and merely telling brokers how much they make with no proof (ALT-A, “Liars Loans”). If you could walk into a loan office and scribble on paper, that was good enough for a million dollar loan!?!?! It basically got to the point where people were buying homes for $500,000 in areas of southern California like compton where equivalent homes would rent for less than $1000/month! I like the series “Real homes of genius” at the drhousingbubble blog, this spoof on Budweisers “Real men of genius” comedy commercials is hilarious and scary at the same time.

So people speculated and went absolutely bonkers, thereby preventing real buyers from affording their first homes. This speculation shot the value of homes up in some areas by 2, 3, 4 or even as much as 5 times their value before the boom. The very simple problem here that I have been telling my friends all during this housing boom is that this is unsustainable because salaries were not increasing sufficiently to match these home prices. Homes are not a magical source of unending wealth, their are a place to live and people must be able to afford them on the basis of their salary.

Median Home Prices vs. Median Household Incomes 1992 - 2005

There are a few simple solutions here. The first solution is that home prices fall to their inflation adjusted levels before the boom to resume their localized home price/median income ratios. This is approximately 2-3:1 for rural, 3-4:1 for suburban and 4+:1 for urban depending on the locale. The second solution involves a mild drop and stagnation in home prices like the one that happened after the 80’s housing boom and subsequent bust here in the US.

US Homes Prices 1975 - 2005

I would however argue that this bust cycle we are in now is significantly worse than the late 80’s boom/bust. The US housing boom follows the bust of the dot com bubble. To mitigate the dot com bubble, Greenspan reduced interest rates at the Federal Reserve to record lows and the result was a large economic boom based almost entirely on housing. This created record numbers of new construction and due to speculators, record numbers of vacant homes (typically homes purchased as investments or lost due to foreclosure). As this process is rapidly slowing and the housing market is falling out and returning to lower values or stagnating, we are beginning to see the ripple effects. If our economic growth was based almost entirely on homes, then what happens when the demand for homes drops precipitously? Suddenly, our drop in home prices doesn’t look like the 80’s boom/bust anymore, not it more closely resembles the Japanese boom/bust of the 90’s.

Japanese land values

The first hit is losing the loan officers, brokers and realtors which is a loss of a small but nationally significant white collar loss of jobs. The real effects will hit when all those well salaried, blue collar construction jobs and the entire industry supporting construction and remodeling comes to a crashing halt. All the people who did the framing, roofing, tiling, electrical, plumbing, paving, landscaping, sheet rock, painting, flooring, etc. will soon be at risk of losing their jobs. Then all the places selling the necessary products to those construction workers, then all the businesses manufacturing the products necessary for those construction workers. This was a major part of the US economic growth. Once this all starts falling through we will see large increases in unemployment, falling wages, increasing foreclosures, falling home prices (thereby falling wealth) and general chaos. The dollar will weaken and if the fed does lower interest rates, the dollar will deteriorate even further. It seems likely that a strong recession is coming and most people are still in denial and have not yet connected the housing bubble with the larger state of the economy. What makes this worse are the international consequences of a deep US recession and the possibility that other markets face a similar fate. Below is evidence that the UK is likely heading for a housing disaster deeper than the US.

Evidence of UK housing bubble

Here is an interesting forecast which, if you believe, implores you to put your assests in commodity business and classic bust valuables like gold.

Peter Schiff has a similar forecast that basically says this bubble needed to burst because of irresponsibility and that the government should not intervene because it will merely slow the necessary market correction and use up government resources in the process (which I agree with):

I really have to put this video below which has the same “doomsayer” explaining in 2006 why the market will crash who is talking in the above video, Peter Schiff.

I believe this housing bubble will lead to larger problems and the larger economy will suffer. If the international economy also suffers it is possible that we could be looking at a real depression similar to the 1930s. At the very least we should expect a dramatic housing correction, housing stagnation for a long time and a large loss of jobs in the US that will need to be filled. When might the economy begin its recovery? I believe there are two major issues surrounding the recovery. The first is that we are really still on the high end of the fall and are not even close to the bottom. We still have to see the job losses in the construction sector and the influence this will have. We have yet to see if investors will completely pull out and the US will be left with thousands of unfinished homes and if areas like Miami, with MASSIVE investments in condos, will turn into a condo ghost town like Bangkok Thailand.

Bush uses al-Qaeda presence in Iraq as Justifcation for continued War

Ok, so some people may think the title is preposterously obvious? I have met far too many who say “of course we are in Iraq because of 9/11” According to polling data, most Americans believe we entered Iraq for reasons related to 9/11.

Poll: 70% believe Saddam, 9-11 link
WASHINGTON (AP) — Nearly seven in 10 Americans believe it is likely that ousted Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein was personally involved in the Sept. 11 attacks, says a poll out almost two years after the terrorists’ strike against this country.

Sixty-nine percent in a Washington Post poll published Saturday said they believe it is likely the Iraqi leader was personally involved in the attacks carried out by al-Qaeda. A majority of Democrats, Republicans and independents believe it’s likely Saddam was involved.

The belief in the connection persists even though there has been no proof of a link between the two.

President Bush and members of his administration suggested a link between the two in the months before the war in Iraq. Claims of possible links have never been proven, however.

Veteran pollsters say the persistent belief of a link between the attacks and Saddam could help explain why public support for the decision to go to war in Iraq has been so resilient despite problems establishing a peaceful country.

The president frequently has called the Iraq war an important centerpiece in the United States’ war on terror. But some members of the administration have said recently they don’t believe there is a direct link.

The Post poll of 1,003 adults was taken Aug. 7-11 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Initially and during the events leading up to the Iraq war, I furiously spoke with people who would not waver from their belief that the Iraq war was retribution for 9/11. In retrospect I better understand why uninformed Americans might believe that Iraq was a war based on the attacks of 9/11. Despite public belief, congressional support and political support were based on three major premises:

1) Iraq has obtained weapons of mass destruction and may use them at will.
2) Saddam Hussein has purchased nuclear material for the purpose of nuclear weapons development.
3) Iraq was sponsoring terrorists including al-Qaeda members and that Iraq may provide these terrorists with the weapons mentioned above for attacks on US targets.

Though none of these calls to war directly include 9/11, the context in which they were often mentioned was apparently sufficiently indistinct from 9/11. In this hazy context many Americans disillusioned by 9/11 stopped discerning between the two events. The context I speak of were frequent speeches made by Rumsfeld, Cheney and Bush which invoked 9/11, al-Qaeda and Iraq in the same conversation and often as intrinsically intertwined events. This was a distinction that has proven to be difficult for some Americans, below is some video showing why that might be the case:

Cheney says he “pretty well confirmed” that there was a meeting between Mohammed Atta, one of the 9/11 Ring Leaders, and an Iraqi intelligence officer in Czechoslovakia. This purported evidence was brought to light by Cheney to provide a perceived link between 9/11 and Iraq. Video below:
Senator Edwards hammering Cheney on the same point:

Now given the context of his full conversation, which I will provide in a quote below, it does seem clear that he did not directly indict Saddam Hussein of an association with 9/11. However, he specifically mentions says that there is new information coming to light about the connection between 9/11 and Iraq. He then goes on to mention and validate as “pretty well confirmed” a meeting between Mohammed Atta, a 9/11 ring leader, and an Iraqi intelligence officer. His false confirmation is, at the very least, a direct implication of involvement though not a direct accusation of involvement. This is a the smoke and mirror tactic often employed by the very secretive Cheney, Bush and Rumsfeld which I believe led to the confusion and misleading of the American public.

RUSSERT: Let me turn to Iraq. When you were last on this program, September 16, five days after the attack on our country, I asked you whether there was any evidence that Iraq was involved in the attack and you said no.

Since that time, a couple of articles have appeared which I want to get you to react to. The first: The Czech interior minister said today that an Iraqi intelligence officer met with Mohammed Atta, one of the ringleaders of the September 11 terrorists attacks on the United States, just five months before the synchronized hijackings and mass killings were carried out.

And this from James Woolsey, former CIA director: “We know that at Salman Pak, in the southern edge of Baghdad, five different eye witnesses–three Iraqi defectors and two American U.N. inspectors–have said, and now there are aerial photographs to show it, a Boeing 707 that was used for training of hijackers, including non-Iraqi hijackers, trained very secretly to take over airplanes with knives.”

And we have photographs. As you can see that little white speck, and there it is.

RUSSERT: The plane on the ground in Iraq used to train non-Iraqi hijackers.

Do you still believe there is no evidence that Iraq was involved in September 11?

CHENEY: Well, what we now have that’s developed since you and I last talked, Tim, of course, was that report that’s been pretty well confirmed, that he did go to Prague and he did meet with a senior official of the Iraqi intelligence service in Czechoslovakia last April, several months before the attack.

Assuming that the polling data is correct and most Americans did, near the time of the Iraqi war invasion, believe that Iraq and 9/11 were intricately tied together those very Americans were set up for a major disappointment when they learned this connection to be false. The heavy criticism of more observant and discerning Americans about this important distinction as well as general criticism for the abysmal post-war planning of the Bush administration slowly brought this truth to bear.

Bush’s statement that Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11 was interpreted by a large number of Americans as a lie coming full circle because they were led to believe that Iraq was involved in the 9/11 attacks.

So our military, politicians and some discerning citizens chose to enter this war based on the reports of weapons of mass destruction, the nuclear threat, purported ties between al-Qaeda and Iraq and perhaps for humanitarian reasons as well (genocide of the Kurds). The public supported this invasion due, in large part, to Iraq’s perceived ties to the 9/11 attack and to a lesser degree the other points mentioned above. Once Saddam’s military had been disassembled we find every “fact” or “truth” or “they have xxx” pushed by the Bush administration to be false. As it later turns out, the Downing street memos and information from intelligence officials demonstrates that this was pushed by the Bush administration despite strong evidence that all of these assertions were unverifiable or patently false. There were no weapons of mass destruction, there was no nuclear threat, there were no al-Qaeda ties but there were humanitarian reasons. I completely disagree with Bush’s assertion that we are spreading freedom because we simply have no cause to traverse the world, forcing our system of government upon other sovereign nations consuming the lives of our soldiers and wearing the worlds tolerance thin.

Then the tide starts to turn. Bush’s popularity plummets. Polls regarding his administration and their handling of the Iraq war, for which there was apparently little to no post-war planning, plummet. Hindsight shows that many Americans believed an idiot who took advantage of his people in a disillusioned and vulnerable state of blind rage, fear and unfailing patriotism. Patriotism and fear that were preyed upon with all manner of unconstitutional abuses of executive power. The question then becomes why are we there now? Evidence now suggests that Saddam Hussein, in his ruthless authoritarian regime, suppressed civil disorder rippling under the surface of Iraq. Saddam Hussein also suppressed the gun toting, fundamentalist, opium bandits passing themselves off as terrorist albeit at the end of a gun. The US took down Saddam’s regime and prosecuted its leadership. Obliterating Saddam’s regime started a civil war, took human rights and women’s rights into a state of post-apocalyptic hell, generated international derision and hatred towards the US and provided a breeding ground for the opium growing terrorists. Senator Biden has called this a self-fulfilling prophecy in which al-Qaeda did not previously exist in Iraq and now does as the result of US policy. It seems preposterous then that Bush would argue that the reason we should stay in Iraq is to bring order, freedom and stable government to the region by militarily defeating the insurgency and notably al-Qaeda! What? Really? Seriously? Was that the argument I heard tonight when Bush addressed the nation and told Americans that he would keep troops in Iraq and force this condition on the next president?

Despite my tirade I am not anti-republican but I have never felt so ashamed, enraged and defiant of an American president until George W. Bush. What really upsets me at the end of Bush’s justification for continuing to send the sons and daughters of this country into a hotbed of violent hatred while ignoring our crumbling educational system, health care system, infrastructure and constitutional rights?

Bush is not concerned about Osama bin Laden?:
Wanted dead or alive? Bush promised to hunt Osama down and 6 months later he is no longer concerned? Brilliant.

The answer to the housing bubble and deficit savings rates of Americans

Well folks, this gets pretty simple. As we pirate our social security funds for war and issues of the present, our future generations will have the pleasure of dealing with bankrupt social security, Medicare, Medicaid and many other social welfare programs. Higher education costs have become insane and new graduates have more debt every year while our public school systems continue to fall down the ladder of International prestige (Link to Government data). Additionally our roads, power grids, sewer systems and various components of US infrastructure are failing due to inattention.

It seems ludicrous that money isn’t being poured into local and federal issues on a grand scale but instead those funds make it into the pork of various bills, we create entire new governmental institutions to monitor our previously free speech and wars of aggression we illegally started on deliberately falsified intelligence. So what can you do? Well first you can write your representative, set up an automated mail creation system with your views and just keep mailing the crap to them until they can’t stand to hear it anymore! Second, save your damn money because it is likely that you will need it in the future America.